Moody’s upgrades Nigeria’s rating to ‘B3’ on better external, fiscal positions

May 31, 2025

Credit ratings agency Moody’s upgraded Nigeria’s rating by a notch to “B3” from “Caa1” on Friday, citing significant improvements in the country’s external and fiscal positions.

Earlier this month, the World Bank said that Nigeria’s economy achieved its fastest growth in about a decade in 2024, driven by a strong fourth quarter and an improved fiscal position. However, it warned that persistently high inflation remains a challenge.

“The recent overhaul of Nigeria’s foreign exchange management framework … has markedly improved the balance of payments and bolstered the CBN’s (Central Bank of Nigeria) foreign exchange reserves,” Moody’s said in a statement.

According to Moody’s, inflationary risks in Nigeria, driven by policy shifts, have diminished. Inflation and domestic borrowing costs are showing nascent signs of easing, bolstering confidence in the stability of these policy changes.

The agency revised Nigeria’s outlook to “stable” from “positive”, as it expects recent progress on external and fiscal fronts to continue, though at a slower pace, if oil prices fall.

“The stable outlook reflects our expectations that external and fiscal improvements will decelerate but will not reverse entirely,” Moody’s said.

REUTERS