We rarely get to hear President Bola Ahmed Tinubu speak beyond formal ceremonies. And those occasions are few and far between. That luxury ended with President Goodluck Jonathan who routinely fielded questions with journalists and had unscheduled and scheduled media chats.

Under President Muhammadu Buhari, Aso Rock was like a mountain occupied by the gods. Those that got round to meet the god of the Rock came back exultant with exuberant stories of what the president said. As governor of Lagos State, Bola Ahmed Tinubu was everywhere and spoke freely.

It took the 64th Independence anniversary for Nigerians to hear the president address them again after the uninspiring and colourless address he was coaxed into making in the heat of the #EndBadGovernance protests. Unfortunately, when a leader has not connected with his people for what is generally seen as unusually long time, he tends to see such occasion as an opportunity to justify his time in office. Invariably, it ends up sounding like a campaign speech. For the people, they already see it differently even before the address is made. That perception builds an air of skepticism and distrust. President Tinubu used the Independence address to unveil what he considered to be his landmark accomplishments recorded in his 16 months in office. Expectedly, it met a brick wall and was roundly savaged.

As a presidential aspirant, he never attended any debate or unveil any economic reform agenda. His promise to scrap the subsidy on petrol was not peculiar to him. Other presidential aspirants, including his main rivals equally promised to do away with the controversial regime. Where he differed was to infamously announce that subsidy had ceased right from the moment of his swearing in. It was not part of his inaugural address and the fact that he made the pronouncement without a road map on its implementation was not lost on Nigerians. The economic chaos that followed only reinforced the air of distrust.

Having acknowledged the “struggles many of you face in these challenging times”, Tinubu went for the esoteric in explaining how his reforms were addressing the challenges. “Thanks to the reforms, our country attracted foreign direct investments worth more than $30 billion in the last year”, he declared. Additionally, “we have cleared the Ways and Means debt of over N30 trillion”, he claimed. It was a claim that did not resonate with people knowledgeable with the dynamics of the economy. In the second quarter of 2024 (April to June), the Nigerian Bureau of Statistics (NBS) had reported that Foreign Direct Investment amounted to only $28.83 million. Just imagine if that stupendous $30 billion was truly ploughed into the economy. Or the wayward printing of the naira by Buhari under Ways and Means that was supposed to be cleared over a 40-year period was suddenly paid by Tinubu. When President Olusegun Obasanjo successfully negotiated the repayment Nigeria’s external debt owed the Paris Club and other foreign creditors, he did not have to wait for a national event to announce it. He did so promptly through a nationwide address. And it was momentous.

With nothing having been heard from the president for a considerable time, his October 1 claim attracted widespread incredulity. The claims were made campaign-style. What Nigerians looked forward to hear from their president was a clearly defined strategy on how their hardship could be alleviated beyond the token of distributing some kilogrammes of rice that got to only a few. In the absence of such news, the repeated call for more patience for the reforms to kick in were hollow. The address was devoid of the message of hope Nigerians have been waiting for. Even though he proclaimed empathy for their hardship, the choice of achievements to flaunt were academic. How does the payment of Ways and Means of N30 trillion impact their wellbeing? What is the wisdom in considering the conferment of awards on politicians at a time government had inflicted untold pain and hardship on the people to be a cheery news to the people in a national day address? The president’s failure to connect with the people through regular communication only for media aides to issue routine press statements has created a huge gap that watered an already inevitable fertile ground for distrust to deepen.

Egbetokun’s gambit

The Inspector General of Police, Kayode Egbetokun, displayed the classical inclination of typical public office to scandalously show their loyalty to whoever appointed them to office, rather than the country. They are not inspired by goings-on in other climes where public office holders stand firm with their oath of office to defend the rule of law. The resilience of Mike Pence who shunned all entreaties and threat from maverick President Donald Trump to manipulate the process of confirming the victory of Joe Biden does not inspire Nigerian politicians. After emerging Senate President, Godswill Akpabio did not hesitate to demonstrate where his loyalty lies. In an early state event, he chose Tinubu’s customized headgear to show his appreciation and loyalty to the man that ensured his emergence.

In the recent council election in Rivers State, all the powers domiciled in Abuja were deployed to frustrate the election as part of the concerted bid to oust Sim Fubara from Government House in Port Harcourt. When Governor Fubara outwitted them, Egbetokun contrived to take over the headquarters of the State Independent Electoral Commission and scuttle the election. Beaten to the game, Egbetokun’s belated explanation for  invading the premises is dumb. He recalled the Police men already premises only to replace them still with his men specially deployed to the state for the election.

Egbetokun epitomizes the deep seated challenge with having strong institutions in the polity. His oath of office to uphold the rule of law and maintain order ranks second to doing what will please his boss even when such directives undermine the independent status of a state that like others ceded some of its powers to the government at the centre. If there was any proof that the proposed bid to hand over state council elections to Aso Rock’s INEC is a brazen attempt at state capture, the failed attempts by Abuja to hand over Rivers State to their post boy on power grab, Nyesom Wike, will threaten democracy in Nigeria has demonstrated it.

Yes, state electoral commissions organize sham elections, but they took it from INEC’s playbook. If INEC decides to play by the rule and organize credible elections, the states will follow suit. Abuja cannot impose the do-what-I-say-and-not-I-do doctrine. This is still a federal republic despite its numerous imperfections.